The full episode is only available to paid subscribers of Ironsides Macroeconomics 'It's Never Different This Time'
QE Restarts
It is QE and might be DE if they buy 2s and 3s, an ease in January is still likely if the data meets our expectations, the tariff shock is complete, thoughts from the road.
This is a video summary of our January 13 note, QE Restarts
Figure 2: The Fed slowed QT before they met any of their benchmarks, they stopped it early and restarted QE all before there was any meaningful justification. They have fallen in love with the ample reserve regime and playing a central role in the overnight lending market. The Fed has abandoned …