The full episode is only available to paid subscribers of Ironsides Macroeconomics 'It's Never Different This Time'
Reminiscences of the Trichet Fiasco
This week's FOMC, BOE and ECB meetings strengthened Treasury Secretary Bessent's case to reverse the 'gain of function' expansion of the Fed's role in markets and the economy.
Figure 2: Over the course of ‘25, as a consequence of three fiscal adverse aggregate demand shocks, immigration, government spending and tariffs, goods consumption slowed from 4.2% to 1.5% and services from 3% to 2.4%.